Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.018420 0.019868 0.021376 0.023063 0.024900 0.026840 0.029047
2025-10-26 0.015929 0.017996 0.020260 0.022930 0.025997 0.029418 0.033533
2025-11-02 0.014324 0.016747 0.019504 0.022884 0.026929 0.031632 0.037539
2025-11-09 0.012946 0.015555 0.018616 0.022487 0.027276 0.033036 0.040534
2025-11-16 0.011843 0.014563 0.017836 0.022089 0.027502 0.034206 0.043210
2025-11-23 0.011073 0.013900 0.017381 0.022014 0.028064 0.035761 0.046395
2025-11-30 0.010373 0.013263 0.016896 0.021837 0.028443 0.037052 0.049259
2025-12-07 0.009786 0.012726 0.016492 0.021719 0.028857 0.038374 0.052199
2025-12-14 0.009243 0.012208 0.016073 0.021537 0.029150 0.039516 0.054922
2025-12-21 0.008843 0.011853 0.015843 0.021585 0.029741 0.041072 0.058291
2025-12-28 0.008423 0.011446 0.015515 0.021466 0.030075 0.042263 0.061174
2026-01-04 0.008073 0.011114 0.015268 0.021441 0.030525 0.043626 0.064365
2026-01-11 0.007730 0.010788 0.015032 0.021444 0.031055 0.045188 0.068049
2026-01-18 0.007396 0.010461 0.014778 0.021408 0.031525 0.046693 0.071754
2026-01-25 0.007092 0.010159 0.014542 0.021381 0.031997 0.048214 0.075567
2026-02-01 0.006716 0.009733 0.014101 0.021015 0.031919 0.048860 0.077989
2026-02-08 0.006369 0.009332 0.013676 0.020646 0.031807 0.049435 0.080306
2026-02-15 0.006125 0.009074 0.013453 0.020577 0.032160 0.050764 0.083963
2026-02-22 0.005874 0.008794 0.013181 0.020413 0.032345 0.051817 0.087196
2026-03-01 0.005653 0.008549 0.012952 0.020303 0.032607 0.053001 0.090721
2026-03-08 0.005432 0.008295 0.012696 0.020134 0.032756 0.053994 0.093954
2026-03-15 0.005273 0.008131 0.012575 0.020178 0.033263 0.055622 0.098435
2026-03-22 0.005090 0.007921 0.012369 0.020069 0.033496 0.056775 0.102098